FIFA World Cup 2026 Quarter-Final Predictions & Match Analysis

Quarter-final previews & win probabilities

All four quarter-finals, previewed: current form, strengths, weaknesses and the numbers. Win probabilities are from Sportradar's match model — the likelihood of each result inside 90 minutes — retrieved on 8 July 2026 and updated here after every matchday. Once a match finishes, its preview is retired and the result joins the bracket below.

Quarter-final

🇫🇷 France v 🇲🇦 Morocco

· Boston Stadium, Boston

France 61.5%Draw 23.7%Morocco 14.8%

A rematch of the 2022 semi-final, which France won 2–0, and the model again makes Les Bleus heavy favourites. France have looked the most complete side at this World Cup, scoring freely on their way to the last eight, with Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé sharing eight goals in the group stage — including Dembélé's 32-minute hat-trick against Norway, the second-fastest in World Cup history. Morocco, though, are built for precisely this occasion. They eliminated the Netherlands on penalties, then dismantled Canada 3–0 in the Round of 16, and their 2022 semi-final run came through knockout wins over Spain and Portugal. France's rare wobbles have come when opponents break quickly behind their full-backs — exactly where Morocco's counter-attack lives. Expect France to dominate the ball, and Morocco to make the night uncomfortable.

Quarter-final

🇪🇸 Spain v 🇧🇪 Belgium

· Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles

Spain 59.2%Draw 23.4%Belgium 17.4%

Spain are the only team at this World Cup yet to concede — six matches, six clean sheets, with goalkeeper Unai Simón breaking Walter Zenga's 36-year-old record for consecutive scoreless minutes along the way, and a 1–0 Iberian-derby win over Portugal booking this tie. The caveat sits at the other end: several of Spain's wins have been by a single goal, and Cape Verde held them 0–0 in the group stage. Belgium are the opposite proposition, capped by a 4–1 dismantling of co-hosts USA in the Round of 16 — but they opened the tournament with laboured draws against Egypt and Iran and shipped two against Senegal. An irresistible force meets an immovable object, and the model sides firmly with the immovable object.

Quarter-final

🇳🇴 Norway v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England

· Miami Stadium, Miami

Norway 23.3%Draw 25.2%England 51.5%

One of the more finely balanced quarter-finals by the numbers. England topped their group at consecutive World Cups for the first time, then survived two genuine tests — a 2–1 win over DR Congo and a 3–2 classic against Mexico in Mexico City, driven by Jude Bellingham. The worry is a defence that has conceded in several matches, which is exactly the wrong profile against Erling Haaland. Norway, at their first World Cup since 1998, produced the shock of the Round of 16 by beating Brazil 2–1 to reach their first-ever quarter-final — though a heavily rotated side was beaten 4–1 by France in the group stage. If England control midfield, they should advance; if the game stretches, Haaland changes everything.

Quarter-final

🇦🇷 Argentina v 🇨🇭 Switzerland

· Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City

Argentina 56.1%Draw 26.2%Switzerland 17.7%

The reigning champions against the tournament's great survivors. Argentina have won every match, with a Lionel Messi who already owns this World Cup — 19 goals, more than any player in history — though back-to-back 3–2 wins over Cape Verde and Egypt exposed a defence that keeps inviting pressure late. Switzerland reach their first quarter-final since 1954 the hard way: a goalless 120 minutes against Colombia settled 4–3 on penalties, goalkeeper Gregor Kobel the difference. That is the Swiss template — organised, patient, hard to break down, and lethal from the spot. Argentina are clear favourites and should have too much quality over 90 minutes, but Switzerland have shown they can drag any opponent into the territory they handle best: a tight, low-scoring night decided by fine margins.

Win probabilities: Sportradar match model, retrieved 8 July 2026 (IST). Probabilities refer to the 90-minute result and shift as line-ups and team news are confirmed.

Your time zone & team

Kick-off times update live. We detect your time zone automatically; switch it, or pick a team to see its full route — group results, knockout scores and any upcoming fixture.

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Knockout bracket & results

The 2026 knockout stage — the first ever to feature a Round of 32 — is into its final week. The Round of 32 and Round of 16 are complete, and all four quarter-finals are confirmed: France v Morocco, Spain v Belgium, Norway v England and Argentina v Switzerland. Every completed result is shown below with final scores; the semi-finals, third-place play-off and final show their bracket route (for example, "Winner 97") until the teams are known. Kick-offs follow the time zone you choose above.

#	Match	Venue
Round of 32
73	🇿🇦 South Africa0v🇨🇦 Canada1	Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles
74	🇧🇷 Brazil2v🇯🇵 Japan1	Houston Stadium, Houston
75	🇩🇪 Germany1(3)v🇵🇾 Paraguay1(4)	Boston Stadium, Boston
76	🇳🇱 Netherlands1(2)v🇲🇦 Morocco1(3)	Monterrey Stadium, Monterrey
77	🇨🇮 Ivory Coast1v🇳🇴 Norway2	Dallas Stadium, Dallas
78	🇫🇷 France3v🇸🇪 Sweden0	New York/New Jersey Stadium, New Jersey
79	🇲🇽 Mexico2v🇪🇨 Ecuador0	Mexico City Stadium, Mexico City
80	🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England2v🇨🇩 DR Congo1	Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta
81	🇧🇪 Belgium3v🇸🇳 Senegal2	Seattle Stadium, Seattle
82	🇺🇸 USA2v🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina0	San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area
83	🇪🇸 Spain3v🇦🇹 Austria0	Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles
84	🇵🇹 Portugal2v🇭🇷 Croatia1	Toronto Stadium, Toronto
85	🇨🇭 Switzerland2v🇩🇿 Algeria0	BC Place, Vancouver
86	🇦🇺 Australia1(2)v🇪🇬 Egypt1(4)	Dallas Stadium, Dallas
87	🇦🇷 Argentina3v🇨🇻 Cape Verde2	Miami Stadium, Miami
88	🇨🇴 Colombia1v🇬🇭 Ghana0	Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Round of 16
89	🇨🇦 Canada0v🇲🇦 Morocco3	Houston Stadium, Houston
90	🇵🇾 Paraguay0v🇫🇷 France1	Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia
91	🇧🇷 Brazil1v🇳🇴 Norway2	New York/New Jersey Stadium, New Jersey
92	🇲🇽 Mexico2v🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England3	Mexico City Stadium, Mexico City
93	🇵🇹 Portugal0v🇪🇸 Spain1	Dallas Stadium, Dallas
94	🇺🇸 USA1v🇧🇪 Belgium4	Seattle Stadium, Seattle
95	🇦🇷 Argentina3v🇪🇬 Egypt2	Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta
96	🇨🇭 Switzerland0(4)v🇨🇴 Colombia0(3)	BC Place, Vancouver
Quarter-final
97	🇫🇷 France2v🇲🇦 Morocco0	Boston Stadium, Boston
98	🇪🇸 Spain2v🇧🇪 Belgium1	Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles
99	🇳🇴 Norway1v🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England2	Miami Stadium, Miami
100	🇦🇷 Argentina3v🇨🇭 Switzerland1	Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Semi-final
101	🇫🇷 France0v🇪🇸 Spain2	Dallas Stadium, Dallas
102	🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England1v🇦🇷 Argentina2	Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta
Third-place play-off
103	🇫🇷 France4v🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England6	Miami Stadium, Miami
Final
104	🇪🇸 Spain1v🇦🇷 Argentina0	New York/New Jersey Stadium, New Jersey

If a knockout match is level after 90 minutes, 30 minutes of extra time are played, followed by a penalty shoot-out if still tied. Scores in brackets show penalty shoot-outs.

Records created in the 2026 FIFA World Cup

The biggest World Cup in history has already reshaped the record books, on and off the pitch. Here are the landmark records and milestones set so far, through the end of the Round of 16.

Tournament firsts

First 48-team World Cup. 2026 is the largest edition ever — 48 nations, 104 matches, and a brand-new Round of 32 added ahead of the Round of 16.
First World Cup hosted by three nations. The United States, Canada and Mexico share the tournament across 16 host cities.

Knockout-stage milestones

Egypt won a World Cup knockout tie for the first time, beating Australia 4–2 on penalties in the Round of 32 — in the same tournament as their first-ever World Cup win, 3–1 over New Zealand in the group stage.
Unai Simón broke the World Cup shutout record. Spain's goalkeeper passed Walter Zenga's 1990 mark of 517 consecutive scoreless minutes, and Spain remain the only side yet to concede at this World Cup — five matches, five clean sheets.
Norway reached their first-ever World Cup quarter-final, beating Brazil 2–1 in the Round of 16 at their first finals appearance since 1998.
The own-goal record has fallen — 13 by the end of the Round of 32, surpassing the 12 scored at Russia 2018.

Lionel Messi rewrites the record books

First player ever to score in 7 consecutive World Cup appearances.
All-time World Cup top scorer — men's or women's. Messi passed Miroslav Klose (16) and Marta (17) to stand on 19 World Cup goals.
Oldest player to score a World Cup hat-trick, aged 38 years 363 days, in the opener against Algeria.
First player to open the scoring in 10 different World Cup matches.
Fifth player to score 6 goals in a single World Cup group stage — the first since Oleg Salenko in 1994.

Other player milestones

Kylian Mbappé equalled Klose on 16 World Cup goals and joined Messi and Klose as the only men with 20+ World Cup goal contributions; he also won his 100th France cap at 27, the youngest Frenchman to reach the mark.
Ousmane Dembélé struck the second-earliest hat-trick in men's World Cup history (7', 20', 32' v Norway) and became the first reigning Ballon d'Or winner to score a World Cup hat-trick since Ronaldo in 2018.
Cristiano Ronaldo became the first and only player to score in six different World Cups (2006–2026) and made his 25th World Cup appearance, tying Lothar Matthäus for second-most behind Messi.
Luka Modrić and Ivan Perišić became the first Croatians to start 20 World Cup matches, with Modrić leading Croatia to the knockouts for a third straight World Cup.

Nations making history

Cape Verde, on debut, became the first newcomer to go unbeaten across three group games since Senegal in 2002 — then pushed defending champions Argentina all the way in a 3–2 Round of 32 thriller.
DR Congo recorded their first-ever World Cup win, 3-1 over Uzbekistan, to reach the knockouts.
Curaçao became the smallest country ever to appear at a World Cup.
Spain kept a clean sheet through the entire group stage for the first time in their history.
England finished top of their group in consecutive World Cups for the first time.
Panama exited with zero goals — the first team since Honduras and Algeria in 2010 to finish a group stage without scoring.

League results — group stage

All 72 group-stage matches with final scores. The top two from each group, plus the eight best third-placed teams, advanced to the Round of 32 in the bracket above. Scores show as home–away; switch the time zone at the top to convert kick-offs.

#	Result	Grp	Venue
1	🇲🇽 Mexico2v🇿🇦 South Africa0	A	Mexico City Stadium, Mexico City
2	🇰🇷 South Korea2v🇨🇿 Czechia1	A	Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
3	🇨🇦 Canada1v🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina1	B	Toronto Stadium, Toronto
4	🇺🇸 USA4v🇵🇾 Paraguay1	D	Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles
5	🇶🇦 Qatar1v🇨🇭 Switzerland1	B	San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area
6	🇧🇷 Brazil1v🇲🇦 Morocco1	C	New York/New Jersey Stadium, New Jersey
7	🇭🇹 Haiti0v🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland1	C	Boston Stadium, Boston
8	🇦🇺 Australia2v🇹🇷 Türkiye0	D	BC Place, Vancouver
9	🇩🇪 Germany7v🇨🇼 Curacao1	E	Houston Stadium, Houston
10	🇳🇱 Netherlands2v🇯🇵 Japan2	F	Dallas Stadium, Dallas
11	🇨🇮 Ivory Coast1v🇪🇨 Ecuador0	E	Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia
12	🇸🇪 Sweden5v🇹🇳 Tunisia1	F	Monterrey Stadium, Monterrey
13	🇪🇸 Spain0v🇨🇻 Cape Verde0	H	Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta
14	🇧🇪 Belgium1v🇪🇬 Egypt1	G	Seattle Stadium, Seattle
15	🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia1v🇺🇾 Uruguay1	H	Miami Stadium, Miami
16	🇮🇷 Iran2v🇳🇿 New Zealand2	G	Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles
17	🇫🇷 France3v🇸🇳 Senegal1	I	New York/New Jersey Stadium, New Jersey
18	🇮🇶 Iraq1v🇳🇴 Norway4	I	Boston Stadium, Boston
19	🇦🇷 Argentina3v🇩🇿 Algeria0	J	Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
20	🇦🇹 Austria3v🇯🇴 Jordan1	J	San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area
21	🇵🇹 Portugal1v🇨🇩 DR Congo1	K	Houston Stadium, Houston
22	🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England4v🇭🇷 Croatia2	L	Dallas Stadium, Dallas
23	🇬🇭 Ghana1v🇵🇦 Panama0	L	Toronto Stadium, Toronto
24	🇺🇿 Uzbekistan1v🇨🇴 Colombia3	K	Mexico City Stadium, Mexico City
25	🇨🇿 Czechia1v🇿🇦 South Africa1	A	Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta
26	🇨🇭 Switzerland4v🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina1	B	Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles
27	🇨🇦 Canada6v🇶🇦 Qatar0	B	BC Place, Vancouver
28	🇲🇽 Mexico1v🇰🇷 South Korea0	A	Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
29	🇺🇸 USA2v🇦🇺 Australia0	D	Seattle Stadium, Seattle
30	🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland0v🇲🇦 Morocco1	C	Boston Stadium, Boston
31	🇧🇷 Brazil3v🇭🇹 Haiti0	C	Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia
32	🇹🇷 Türkiye0v🇵🇾 Paraguay1	D	San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area
33	🇳🇱 Netherlands5v🇸🇪 Sweden1	F	Houston Stadium, Houston
34	🇩🇪 Germany2v🇨🇮 Ivory Coast1	E	Toronto Stadium, Toronto
35	🇪🇨 Ecuador0v🇨🇼 Curacao0	E	Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
36	🇹🇳 Tunisia0v🇯🇵 Japan4	F	Monterrey Stadium, Monterrey
37	🇪🇸 Spain4v🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia0	H	Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta
38	🇧🇪 Belgium0v🇮🇷 Iran0	G	Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles
39	🇺🇾 Uruguay2v🇨🇻 Cape Verde2	H	Miami Stadium, Miami
40	🇳🇿 New Zealand1v🇪🇬 Egypt3	G	BC Place, Vancouver
41	🇦🇷 Argentina2v🇦🇹 Austria0	J	Dallas Stadium, Dallas
42	🇫🇷 France3v🇮🇶 Iraq0	I	Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia
43	🇳🇴 Norway3v🇸🇳 Senegal2	I	New York/New Jersey Stadium, New Jersey
44	🇯🇴 Jordan1v🇩🇿 Algeria2	J	San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area
45	🇵🇹 Portugal5v🇺🇿 Uzbekistan0	K	Houston Stadium, Houston
46	🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England0v🇬🇭 Ghana0	L	Boston Stadium, Boston
47	🇵🇦 Panama0v🇭🇷 Croatia1	L	Toronto Stadium, Toronto
48	🇨🇴 Colombia1v🇨🇩 DR Congo0	K	Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
49	🇨🇭 Switzerland2v🇨🇦 Canada1	B	BC Place, Vancouver
50	🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina3v🇶🇦 Qatar1	B	Seattle Stadium, Seattle
51	🇲🇦 Morocco4v🇭🇹 Haiti2	C	Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta
52	🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland0v🇧🇷 Brazil3	C	Miami Stadium, Miami
53	🇿🇦 South Africa1v🇰🇷 South Korea0	A	Monterrey Stadium, Monterrey
54	🇨🇿 Czechia0v🇲🇽 Mexico3	A	Mexico City Stadium, Mexico City
55	🇨🇼 Curacao0v🇨🇮 Ivory Coast2	E	Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia
56	🇪🇨 Ecuador2v🇩🇪 Germany1	E	New York/New Jersey Stadium, New Jersey
57	🇹🇳 Tunisia1v🇳🇱 Netherlands3	F	Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
58	🇯🇵 Japan1v🇸🇪 Sweden1	F	Dallas Stadium, Dallas
59	🇹🇷 Türkiye3v🇺🇸 USA2	D	Los Angeles Stadium, Los Angeles
60	🇵🇾 Paraguay0v🇦🇺 Australia0	D	San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area
61	🇳🇴 Norway1v🇫🇷 France4	I	Boston Stadium, Boston
62	🇸🇳 Senegal0v🇮🇶 Iraq0	I	Toronto Stadium, Toronto
63	🇨🇻 Cape Verde0v🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia0	H	Houston Stadium, Houston
64	🇺🇾 Uruguay0v🇪🇸 Spain1	H	Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
65	🇳🇿 New Zealand1v🇧🇪 Belgium5	G	BC Place, Vancouver
66	🇮🇷 Iran1v🇪🇬 Egypt1	G	Seattle Stadium, Seattle
67	🇵🇦 Panama0v🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England2	L	New York/New Jersey Stadium, New Jersey
68	🇭🇷 Croatia2v🇬🇭 Ghana1	L	Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia
69	🇨🇴 Colombia0v🇵🇹 Portugal0	K	Miami Stadium, Miami
70	🇨🇩 DR Congo3v🇺🇿 Uzbekistan1	K	Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta
71	🇩🇿 Algeria3v🇦🇹 Austria3	J	Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
72	🇯🇴 Jordan1v🇦🇷 Argentina3	J	Dallas Stadium, Dallas

Frequently asked questions

What are the World Cup 2026 quarter-final fixtures?

All four quarter-finals are set: France v Morocco in Boston on 10 July (1:30 AM IST), Spain v Belgium in Los Angeles on 11 July (12:30 AM IST), Norway v England in Miami on 12 July (2:30 AM IST), and Argentina v Switzerland in Kansas City on 12 July (6:30 AM IST).

Who is favourite to win France vs Morocco?

France. Sportradar's match model gives France a 61.5% chance of winning in 90 minutes, against 14.8% for Morocco, with a 23.7% chance of a draw. The tie is a rematch of the 2022 semi-final, which France won 2-0.

Who is favourite to win Spain vs Belgium?

Spain. Sportradar's match model rates Spain at 59.2% to win in 90 minutes and Belgium at 17.4%, with a 23.4% chance of a draw. Spain are the only team at the 2026 World Cup yet to concede a goal.

Who is favourite to win Norway vs England?

England. Sportradar's match model puts England at 51.5% to win in 90 minutes and Norway at 23.3%, with a 25.2% chance of a draw.

Who is favourite to win Argentina vs Switzerland?

Argentina. Sportradar's match model rates the defending champions at 56.1% to win in 90 minutes and Switzerland at 17.7%, with a 26.2% chance of a draw. Switzerland reached the last eight by beating Colombia 4-3 on penalties.

What happens if a knockout match is drawn?

If a knockout tie is level after 90 minutes, 30 minutes of extra time are played. If still level, the match is decided by a penalty shoot-out. There are no replays.

Where can I see the results of completed World Cup 2026 matches?

Every completed match is preserved on this page with final scores: the Round of 32 and Round of 16 results appear in the knockout bracket, all 72 group games are in the League Results section, and the country filter shows any team's full route through the tournament.